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Lending Update 09/25/2017

Relatively speaking, last week we saw a fairly significant rise in the 10-year yield (see graph below).  Forgetting the various sociopolitical issues for the moment, it seems that the interest markets are actually concerned about the FED unwinding the stimulus…

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Lending Update 09/18/2017

The 10-year yield actually moved up a bit over last week.  Some possible factors influencing the upward trend were Irma’s relatively benign losses, the perception of improved US economic health, and the expectation of rate increases in both the US…

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Lending Update 09/11/2017

Last week, the 10-year yield broke through its support at around the 2.13% level (see the graph below where the red circle and the blue line intersect).  I can sit here and tell you that it is Harvey, North Korea,…

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Lending Update 09/04/2017

The 10-year yield continued its downward trend once more.  There seems to be enough global and economic uncertainty to keep yields down.  The 10-year yield has been in this downward trending channel dating back to the beginning of July. Articles…

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Lending Update 08/28/2017

The 10-year yield continued its trend down this past week.  In the graph below (depicting the last 12 months), you can see we are again at the lower end of the blue line channel.  From an interest rate perspective, things…

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Lending Update 08/21/2017

The 10-year yield essentially stayed the same this past week.  Note that yields have been trending lower since early July.  And typically, the stock and bond markets do not like instability.  This instability would translate into a downward trend for…

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Lending Update 08/14/2017

The 10-year yield moved down quite a bit from a week earlier. It seems (upon looking at the graphs below) that the US 10-year yield and the German 10-year are very much in sync.  Both have dropped about the same…

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Lending Update 08/07/2017

The 10-year yield continued to do little with regards to movement.  The yield is still in its trading channel (see last week’s graph).  Jobs remain strong; and companies are reporting very positive earnings.  Outside of the lack of harmony in…

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Lending Update 07/31/2017

I thought I would do a quick one-year look-back on the 10-year yield.  In the graph below, the yield had a steady increase until mid-December.  There were the lovely political disagreements that continue to today as well.  Back in December, there was…

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Lending Update 07/24/2017

This past week the 10-year yield pulled back once more.  The graphs below show the moves of the both the US and the German 10-year yields.  For now, it appears the German yield is helping move the US yield downward.…

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